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International Cooperation Department
Tel.: (+86-21) 65853850-8034
Fax: (+86-21) 65373125
E-mail: ICDept@sisi-smu.org
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International Shipping |
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| Potential US oil sanctions on Venezuela could push prices up |
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Date:2018-05-22 Readers:
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US crude hit its highest level since 2014
on May 21 on the back of mounting fears that Venezuela's oil output
could drop further following the country's presidential election and
potential sanctions on the OPEC-member nation.
Prices firmed further as US President
Donald Trump had discussions with Russia and China about issuing new
debt to Venezuela. Mr Trump has signed an executive order restricting
Venezuela's ability to liquidate state assets, a senior administration
official told Reuters.
Any restriction on Venezuela's financing, logistics or power supply could further depress the country's crude output.
The United States is actively considering oil sanctions on Venezuela,
where output has dropped by a third in two years to its lowest in
decades.
"The spectre of US oil sanctions on the embattled Latin American
producer now looms large as Washington strives to tighten the financial
noose," PVM Oil Associates strategist Stephen Brennock said in a note.
Brent pushed past US$80 a barrel last week and the market may again try
to clear that hurdle, said Tradition Energy vice president Gene
McGillian.
It seems as if the pull backs are just short-term profit taking and we
will see whether people are going to be willing to drive the market
through $80 again," he said.
Beyond Venezuela's production woes, geopolitical concerns that US
sanctions on Iran could curb the country's crude exports have led prices
to trade higher in recent weeks.
Additionally, a possible US trade war with China is "on hold" after the
world's two largest economies agreed to drop their tariff threats while
they work on a wider trade agreement. Stabilising trade relations
between the countries could boost oil demand.
Rising output from US shale and key OPEC producers could end the rally,
BP chief executive Bob Dudley told Reuters. Mr Dudley said he expected a
flood of US shale and a possible reopening of OPEC taps to cool oil
markets after crude rose above $80 a barrel last week.
Mr Dudley said he saw oil prices falling to between $50 and $65 because
of surging shale output and OPEC's capacity to boost production to cover
a potential shortfall in Iranian supplies owing to US sanctions.
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