According to foreign media, liner companies in Europe and the United States line from 1 June per 40-foot box tariffs will rise 1,000 U.S. dollars, the United States line for the long contract customers to levy 600 U.S. dollars in the peak season surcharge, a shipping company has also issued from 1 July per 40-foot box to levy a 2,500 U.S. dollars in the peak season surcharge plan to make low-priced signing of a long contract shippers to pay out a few times the cost of freight. A well-known freight forwarder senior pointed out that now into the sub-epidemic era, container ships running Europe and the United States line 3.5 to 5.7 trips can earn back the ship price.
Beginning June 1, the U.S. West line per 40-foot box freight about 6500 U.S. dollars, the U.S. East about 7300-7500 U.S. dollars, the European line about 6300-6500 U.S. dollars, the European line freight is lower than the U.S. West, mainly because of the majority of the European line of the 24,000 TEU level of deployment of ultra-large container ships, the unit cost is low, because of the bypass, the European line cost price is estimated to be per 40-foot box in the 1200- 1,500 U.S. dollars.
U.S. line long contract cargo this year signed the price of $ 1,500-1,800, and the gap between the spot price is getting bigger and bigger, because most of the long contract price is only allowed to add a peak season surcharge, now the shipping company's peak season surcharge are all for the long contract, put forward in July to collect $ 2,500 peak season surcharge of the shipping company, is betting on the market in July, the price of freight will continue to rise.
A forwarder senior pointed out that Evergreen Marine's first 24,000 TEU class container ship ‘Chang Fan ship’, the cost of construction in the 140-160 million U.S. dollars between the ship can carry 12,000 40-foot box, 95% of the loading rate, can be loaded with 1.14 40-foot box. With a cost of 160 million US dollars, each big box earns 4,000 US dollars estimate, run a trip to Europe can earn 45.6 million US dollars, run 3.5 trips to earn back the price of the ship. Most of the deployment of the U.S. West line is 13-14,000 TEU class container ships, it is estimated that the time to earn back a ship to 5.7 trips.
During the epidemic, it took two trips to earn back a ship. Currently in the construction of more than 700 container ships, 84% of the shipping company's own investment in the construction, only 16% is to take long term chartering, while before the epidemic, the container ship market, nearly 50% of the vessels are long term chartering ships.
Due to the United States from 1 August for some goods in China to raise tariffs, resulting in the relevant goods to grab shipments, but also affect other goods, forcing some of the goods to delay shipments. Therefore, freight forwarders estimate that the end of June and early July, the final rush of goods related to the tariff increase time is over, will be replaced by other goods shipments, so that the market heat extended to August or September. The degree of acceptance by end-consumers of high cargo prices resulting from high tariffs is a key factor in how long the market will actually be hot.
https://www.cnss.com.cn/html/hygc/20240603/353574.html
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